Cool Your Jets With Those Pets (see what i did there?)

Having spent all three of my days off this week addicted to the new pet battle system, I had some insights into the system that have made me seriously worry about the 2 GB tabs I have filled with rare drop pets, holiday pets, etc. Here's why:

1. The addition of all the wild pets is going to make those rare drops LESS desirable to pet battlers. Who cares what the name of the pet is as long as it has rare stats and the same spellbook? From what I have seen of the pets, there will be very few pets with unique or rare spells, and I think the ones with particularly powerful spellbooks will be the expensive ones, which is difficult to gauge at this point. Otherwise, Joe Blow's rare seagull is going to be worth the same as the Hyacinth Macaws I have sitting in my GB, which is to say, not nearly as much as I paid for them.

2. The addition of all the wild pets is going to make those rare drops LESS desirable to achievement hunters. Instead of being one pet out of 100+, it's now 1 out of 400+. Unless you are working for the very top echelon of pet collecting achievements, you probably will just walk outside and grab a pet rather than buy an expensive one. Combine this with the fact that Blizz does not have the pet achievement tuned nearly as tight as, say, the cooking recipe ones, and the outlook doesn't look great. There will still be interest by collectors and those seeking the highest pet achs, but that probably won't translate into any meaningful profits above the inflationary increase.

3. It's too early to tell what pets will truly be expensive. Having spent 3 days battling, it's clear that there will be certain spells that will dominate the game. The key, and what's not clear, will be to figure out not only which spells are dominant, but of those dominant spells which are the most rare, and which pets have them. It is this combination of powerful spell and a lack of viable (i.e. catch-able) alternatives that will really drive the price on pets.

4. It's not to early to tell some pets will be worthless except to collectors. There are some really weak pets out there. Even worse, some pets are not going to make rare status. One set of pets that is not currently being included as rares are the Argent Tourney ones. If this remains the case, it will make stocking up on these an extremely bad investment (bad for me). The only thing that could save the value of an uncommon quality pet would be to have one of the rare, powerful abilities.

Taking all this into account, I am seriously curtailing my pet purchasing. I have discovered a few promising pets that I think will be in demand due to their strength battling, but I have no way to be sure that they won't be nerfed or that there isn't a duplicate pet out there waiting to be caught for free. I'm not going to liquidate at all at this point, but it has become clear to me that this is going to be much more than just--"People will be using pets to collect AND battle, therefore pets will go up." This is going to be a very dynamic market, considering rarity, spell selection and level of the pet. I'm probably going to lose my ass.

Oh well, who wants to buy a glyph?

Source: http://stormspire.net/speculation/6645-cool-your-jets-those-pets-see-what-i-did-there.html

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